Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 12:30 UTC
Model vs marketTommy Paul: Busy
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Tommy Paul won 6-1 6-1. The model had Tommy Paul at 70%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Tommy Paulmodel 70% · market 79%
Luciano Darderimodel 30% · market 21%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Tommy Paul has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Luciano Darderi has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Tommy Paul is 4–2 on i.hard in 2026.
- Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 2–1.
- Tommy Paul has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Luciano Darderi 9 points higher than the market does.
Tommy Paul
- Ranking
- #14 (seed 7)
- Elo
- 1793
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-10-24Lost
- vs Corentin Moutet · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-06Lost
Luciano Darderi
- Ranking
- #23
- Elo
- 1645
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-26Won
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Casper Ruud · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-07Lost
- vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-05Won
- vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Harry Wendelken · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-08-26Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Tommy Paul 2–1 Luciano Darderi. On indoor hard: 1–0.
All 3 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Paul | Darderi | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.1% | 56.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 71.4% | 70.7% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| Break points saved | 61.2% | 59.7% |
| Break points converted | 42.3% | 42.0% |
| Ace rate | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.1% | 3.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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