Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 16:00 UTC
Lorenzo Musetti: In formModel vs marketLorenzo Musetti: Busy
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Arthur Fery won 6-4 5-7 6-4. The model had Lorenzo Musetti at 63%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Arthur Ferymodel 37% · market 29%
Lorenzo Musettimodel 63% · market 72%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Arthur Fery has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 6–0 on i.hard in 2026.
- Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Lorenzo Musetti has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Arthur Fery 9 points higher than the market does.
Arthur Fery
- Ranking
- #35
- Elo
- 1678
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Jacob Fearnley · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Borna Gojo · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Marin Cilic · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Jaime Faria · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Alvaro Guillen Meza · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Lorenzo Musetti · 2026-09-01Lost
- vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-08-29Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-28Won
- vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-08-27Won
Lorenzo Musetti
- Ranking
- #26
- Elo
- 1767
- Indoor hard 2026
- 6–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-10-28Won
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Yi Zhou · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-21Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Arthur Fery 0–1 Lorenzo Musetti. On indoor hard: 0–1.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Fery | Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.6% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.3% | 69.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.1% | 52.8% |
| Break points saved | 59.9% | 60.0% |
| Break points converted | 42.3% | 41.8% |
| Ace rate | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 2.6% | 2.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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