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← All matchesATP · Erste Bank Open - Vienna · First

Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Cameron Norrie: Cold
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →

Result

Cameron Norrie won 6-4 6-1. The model had Francisco Cerundolo at 61%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Cameron Norriemodel 39% · market 37%
Francisco Cerundolomodel 61% · market 63%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.

  • Cameron Norrie has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Francisco Cerundolo is 4–2 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2–1.

Cameron Norrie

Ranking
#41
Elo
1638
Indoor hard 2026
2–2
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
7

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-20Lost
  • vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-10-08Lost
  • vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-08-30Lost
  • vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-08-15Lost
  • vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-08-13Won
  • vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-08Lost
  • vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-08-06Won
  • vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-08-05Won
  • vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · 2026-08-03Won

Francisco Cerundolo

Ranking
#19
Elo
1717
Indoor hard 2026
4–2
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
3

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Tallon Griekspoor · 2026-10-24Lost
  • vs Clement Chidekh · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Martin Damm · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-11Lost
  • vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-09Won
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-04Lost
  • vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-03Won
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Casper Ruud · 2026-09-25Lost
  • vs Mert Alkaya · 2026-09-20Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Cameron Norrie 1–2 Francisco Cerundolo.

All 4 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

NorrieCerundolo
First serve in64.6%64.2%
Points won on 1st serve70.2%66.9%
Points won on 2nd serve50.7%50.7%
Break points saved63.4%60.6%
Break points converted42.2%43.0%
Ace rate6.0%3.5%
Double-fault rate3.6%3.7%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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