Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 16:30 UTC
Result
Cameron Norrie won 6-4 6-1. The model had Francisco Cerundolo at 61%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Cameron Norrie has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Francisco Cerundolo is 4–2 on i.hard in 2026.
- Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 2–1.
Cameron Norrie
- Ranking
- #41
- Elo
- 1638
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 7
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Dalibor Svrcina · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-08-30Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-08-15Lost
- vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-08-13Won
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-08Lost
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-08-06Won
- vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-08-05Won
- vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · 2026-08-03Won
Francisco Cerundolo
- Ranking
- #19
- Elo
- 1717
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Tallon Griekspoor · 2026-10-24Lost
- vs Clement Chidekh · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Casper Ruud · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Mert Alkaya · 2026-09-20Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Cameron Norrie 1–2 Francisco Cerundolo.
All 4 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Norrie | Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.6% | 64.2% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.2% | 66.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| Break points saved | 63.4% | 60.6% |
| Break points converted | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| Ace rate | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.6% | 3.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.