Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova
Hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 04:30 UTC
Toss-upAshlyn Krueger: In formKaterina Siniakova: In formAshlyn Krueger: BusyKaterina Siniakova: Busy
Who wins the Japan Open? Title chances →Result
Katerina Siniakova won 6-1 6-0. The model had Katerina Siniakova at 52%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Ashlyn Kruegermodel 48% · market 47%
Katerina Siniakovamodel 52% · market 54%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Ashlyn Krueger has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Katerina Siniakova has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Ashlyn Krueger is 16–14 on hard in 2026.
- Katerina Siniakova is 14–12 on hard in 2026.
- Ashlyn Krueger has played 9 matches in the last 14 days.
- Katerina Siniakova has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
Ashlyn Krueger
- Ranking
- #55
- Elo
- 1705
- Hard 2026
- 16–14
- Matches, last 14 days
- 9
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Talia Gibson · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Lanlana Tararudee · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Lanlana Tararudee · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Shuai Zhang · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Taylah Preston · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-03Lost
Katerina Siniakova
- Ranking
- #86
- Elo
- 1718
- Hard 2026
- 14–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Katie Boulter · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Magda Linette · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Peyton Stearns · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Liudmila Samsonova · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Magda Linette · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Madison Keys · 2026-08-18Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Krueger | Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.5% | 61.7% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 63.7% | 63.1% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 44.5% | 44.7% |
| Break points saved | 55.1% | 54.0% |
| Break points converted | 45.3% | 47.1% |
| Ace rate | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.2% | 6.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.