Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC
Lorenzo Sonego: ColdJacob Fearnley: Busy
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Jacob Fearnley won 6-1 6-7(3) 6-4. The model had Jacob Fearnley at 58%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Lorenzo Sonegomodel 42% · market 46%
Jacob Fearnleymodel 58% · market 54%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.
- Lorenzo Sonego has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
- Jacob Fearnley has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Jacob Fearnley is 3–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Jacob Fearnley has played 8 matches in the last 14 days.
Lorenzo Sonego
- Ranking
- #89
- Elo
- 1567
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 3W – 7L
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Aziz Dougaz · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-28Lost
- vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Francesco Passaro · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-01Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-26Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-08-25Won
Jacob Fearnley
- Ranking
- #87
- Elo
- 1625
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 8
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Clement Chidekh · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Hugo Gaston · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Damir Dzumhur · 2026-10-18Lost
- vs Luca Nardi · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Maxim Mrva · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Jan Kumstat · 2026-10-15Won
- vs George Loffhagen · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez · 2026-09-30Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Sonego | Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.9% | 61.4% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 72.1% | 72.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.6% | 49.0% |
| Break points saved | 62.9% | 59.9% |
| Break points converted | 40.0% | 43.6% |
| Ace rate | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 2.8% | 7.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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