Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Alex Molcan: In formModel vs marketAdrian Mannarino: Busy
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Adrian Mannarino won 7-5 6-2. The model had Alex Molcan at 61%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Adrian Mannarinomodel 39% · market 49%
Alex Molcanmodel 61% · market 52%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.
- Adrian Mannarino has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Alex Molcan has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Adrian Mannarino is 9–5 on i.hard in 2026.
- Alex Molcan is 3–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Adrian Mannarino has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Alex Molcan 10 points higher than the market does.
Adrian Mannarino
- Ranking
- #79
- Elo
- 1611
- Indoor hard 2026
- 9–5
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-27Lost
Alex Molcan
- Ranking
- #80
- Elo
- 1690
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Hamad Medjedovic · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Federico Cina · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Tomas Machac · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Marco Trungelliti · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Vit Kopriva · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-09-20Lost
- vs Stefanos Sakellaridis · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-09-02Lost
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Mannarino | Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.3% | 62.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.1% | 67.1% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.5% | 51.2% |
| Break points saved | 59.4% | 58.9% |
| Break points converted | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| Ace rate | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.2% | 4.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.