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← All matchesATP · Almaty Open - Almaty · 1/2

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 10:00 UTC

Nikoloz Basilashvili: In formStefanos Tsitsipas: In formNikoloz Basilashvili: BusyStefanos Tsitsipas: Busy
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →

Result

Nikoloz Basilashvili won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3. The model had Stefanos Tsitsipas at 71%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Nikoloz Basilashvilimodel 29% · market 29%
Stefanos Tsitsipasmodel 71% · market 71%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili is 6–3 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is 6–1 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head 3–1.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Ranking
#128 (seed q)
Elo
1588
Indoor hard 2026
6–3
Matches, last 14 days
5
Days since last match
0

Last 10: 8W – 2L

  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Marin Cilic · 2026-10-19Won
  • vs Adam Walton · 2026-10-18Won
  • vs Taro Daniel · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-07Lost
  • vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-06Won
  • vs Andre Ilagan · 2026-10-05Won
  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-09-28Lost
  • vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-27Won

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking
#39 (seed 7)
Elo
1746
Indoor hard 2026
6–1
Matches, last 14 days
6
Days since last match
0

Last 10: 8W – 2L

  • vs James Duckworth · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Mikhail Kukushkin · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Aleksandar Kovacevic · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Kimmer Coppejans · 2026-10-08Won
  • vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-02Lost
  • vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Rinky Hijikata · 2026-09-29Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Nikoloz Basilashvili 1–3 Stefanos Tsitsipas. On indoor hard: 1–3.

All 5 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

BasilashviliTsitsipas
First serve in59.3%61.4%
Points won on 1st serve68.6%75.9%
Points won on 2nd serve49.8%54.3%
Break points saved58.5%64.1%
Break points converted40.3%39.8%
Ace rate5.6%8.9%
Double-fault rate5.3%3.0%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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