Joel Schwaerzler vs Titouan Droguet
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 UTC
Titouan Droguet: In formJoel Schwaerzler: Home
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Titouan Droguet won 6-3 3-6 7-5. The model had Titouan Droguet at 74%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Joel Schwaerzlermodel 26% · market 29%
Titouan Droguetmodel 74% · market 71%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.4%) removed.
- Joel Schwaerzler has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Titouan Droguet has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Joel Schwaerzler is 8–4 on i.hard in 2026.
- Titouan Droguet is 14–6 on i.hard in 2026.
- Joel Schwaerzler is playing at home.
Joel Schwaerzler
- Ranking
- #173
- Elo
- 1552
- Indoor hard 2026
- 8–4
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 6
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Federico Cina · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Jack Pinnington Jones · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Felix Balshaw · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Lucas Poullain · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Harry Wendelken · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Alberto Barroso Campos · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Maxime Chazal · 2026-09-22Lost
- vs Luca Potenza · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Max Basing · 2026-09-01Won
Titouan Droguet
- Ranking
- #69
- Elo
- 1732
- Indoor hard 2026
- 14–6
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Harold Mayot · 2026-09-27Won
- vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-09-26Won
- vs Mark Lajal · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Borna Gojo · 2026-09-23Won
- vs Karl Poling · 2026-09-22Won
- vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · 2026-09-19Lost
- vs Borna Gojo · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Daniel Rincon · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Michele Ribecai · 2026-09-16Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Schwaerzler | Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.1% | 60.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.5% | 71.8% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Break points saved | 61.6% | 61.7% |
| Break points converted | 39.8% | 42.2% |
| Ace rate | 5.7% | 7.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.6% | 2.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.