Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UTC
Result
Lorenzo Musetti won 4-6 6-2 7-5. The model had Lorenzo Musetti at 56%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.8%) removed.
- Flavio Cobolli has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Flavio Cobolli is 2–3 on i.hard in 2026.
- Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- The model rates Lorenzo Musetti 7 points higher than the market does.
Flavio Cobolli
- Ranking
- #6 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1669
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Stan Wawrinka · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Tristan Schoolkate · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Francisco Comesana · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-22Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-08-20Won
Lorenzo Musetti
- Ranking
- #26 (seed 6)
- Elo
- 1708
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Yi Zhou · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-21Lost
- vs Jaime Faria · 2026-08-19Won
- vs Michael Zheng · 2026-08-18Won
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-08-16Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Lorenzo Musetti. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Cobolli | Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 54.9% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.3% | 69.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.6% | 52.7% |
| Break points saved | 59.9% | 59.9% |
| Break points converted | 40.6% | 41.9% |
| Ace rate | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.0% | 2.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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