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Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UTC

Flavio Cobolli: Top 10
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →

Result

Lorenzo Musetti won 4-6 6-2 7-5. The model had Lorenzo Musetti at 56%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Flavio Cobollimodel 44% · market 52%
Lorenzo Musettimodel 56% · market 48%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.8%) removed.

  • Flavio Cobolli has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Flavio Cobolli is 2–3 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head 1–0.
  • The model rates Lorenzo Musetti 7 points higher than the market does.

Flavio Cobolli

Ranking
#6 (seed 1)
Elo
1669
Indoor hard 2026
2–3
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 5W – 5L

  • vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Stan Wawrinka · 2026-10-22Won
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-09Lost
  • vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-26Lost
  • vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-05Lost
  • vs Tristan Schoolkate · 2026-09-03Won
  • vs Francisco Comesana · 2026-09-01Won
  • vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-22Lost
  • vs Tommy Paul · 2026-08-20Won

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranking
#26 (seed 6)
Elo
1708
Indoor hard 2026
3–0
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
1

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-23Won
  • vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-10-19Won
  • vs Yi Zhou · 2026-10-09Lost
  • vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-03Lost
  • vs Arthur Fery · 2026-09-01Won
  • vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-21Lost
  • vs Jaime Faria · 2026-08-19Won
  • vs Michael Zheng · 2026-08-18Won
  • vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-08-16Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Lorenzo Musetti. On indoor hard: 0–1.

All 2 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

CobolliMusetti
First serve in54.9%64.3%
Points won on 1st serve69.3%69.2%
Points won on 2nd serve50.6%52.7%
Break points saved59.9%59.9%
Break points converted40.6%41.9%
Ace rate5.5%4.7%
Double-fault rate4.0%2.8%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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