ATP Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes 2026: title chances
Tournament finished. Lorenzo Musetti won the title (final result from our match tracking); the table below is the last simulation before the final. Updated 25 October at 05:30 UTC.
Results already played are fixed; every open match is decided by the Elo win probability. Model estimate, not a betting tip. 18+.
| Player | R2 | QF | SF | Final | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz (2WC) · #14 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 53% |
| Lorenzo Musetti [6] · #26 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 47% |
| Arthur Fery [8] · #34Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Bonzi · #100Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borna Gojo (Q) · #148Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Nakashima [5] · #17Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Norrie · #40Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clement Tabur (Q) · #158Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corentin Moutet · #94Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Altmaier · #65Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Balshaw (NG) · #186Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flavio Cobolli [1] · #6Out in SF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamad Medjedovic · #76Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Faria · #56Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrian Jacquet (Q) · #85Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Sonego · #89Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Van Assche · #48Out in QF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Landaluce · #67Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Arnaldi · #36Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Berrettini · #43Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moise Kouame (WC) · #194Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert (Q) · #290Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Baez · #49Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stan Wawrinka (WC) · #140Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Titouan Droguet · #69Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommy Paul [4] · #15Out in SF | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ugo Humbert [7] · #35Out in R1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Vacherot [3] · #32Out in R2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Columns show the chance to reach each stage. Percentages below 1% are shown as <1%.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
Title chances are the model's view of the draw. Our actual picks get a full written analysis in the free Discord, posted before each match.