Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian Sorger
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 13:15 UTC
Result
Fabian Marozsan won 3-6 6-4 6-4. The model had Fabian Marozsan at 56%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.7%) removed. At least one player has few tracked matches, so the rating leans on the ranking.
- Fabian Marozsan has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Sebastian Sorger has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Sebastian Sorger is 13–7 on i.hard in 2026.
- Sebastian Sorger is playing at home.
- The model rates Sebastian Sorger 27 points higher than the market does.
- At least one player has few tracked matches, so the model leans on ranking.
Fabian Marozsan
- Ranking
- #64
- Elo
- 1616
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 3
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Timofey Skatov · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Zachary Svajda · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Taro Daniel · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Alex Bolt · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Louis Van Herck · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Michael Zheng · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-27Lost
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-08-26Won
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-08-25Won
Sebastian Sorger
- Ranking
- #372
- Elo
- 1575
- Indoor hard 2026
- 13–7
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 2
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Finn Murgett · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Rhys Lawlor · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Stepan Baum · 2026-09-23Lost
- vs Martin Krumich · 2026-09-07Lost
- vs Valerio Aboian · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Petr Brunclik · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Samuele Pieri · 2026-08-29Lost
- vs Giuseppe La Vela · 2026-08-28Won
- vs Miha Vetrih · 2026-08-27Won
- vs Jan Kupcic · 2026-08-26Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Marozsan | Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.1% | 71.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.3% | 62.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| Break points saved | 60.0% | 56.2% |
| Break points converted | 41.2% | 47.8% |
| Ace rate | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.1% | 2.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.