Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 10:30 UTC
Lorenzo Sonego: ColdModel vs market
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Lorenzo Sonego won 6-2 3-6 6-3. The model had Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 68%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Adolfo Daniel Vallejomodel 68% · market 49%
Lorenzo Sonegomodel 32% · market 51%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.
- Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Lorenzo Sonego has won 3 of the last 10 matches.
- The model rates Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 19 points higher than the market does.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
- Ranking
- #54
- Elo
- 1690
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 13
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Valentin Royer · 2026-10-08Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Jaime Faria · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Taro Daniel · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Jie Cui · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-09-19Won
Lorenzo Sonego
- Ranking
- #89
- Elo
- 1561
- Indoor hard 2026
- 0–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 4
Last 10: 3W – 7L
- vs Moise Kouame · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Aziz Dougaz · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-28Lost
- vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Francesco Passaro · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-01Lost
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-26Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-08-25Won
- vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert · 2026-08-24Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Vallejo | Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.9% | 64.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 64.7% | 72.1% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 49.6% | 51.6% |
| Break points saved | 57.3% | 62.9% |
| Break points converted | 45.3% | 39.9% |
| Ace rate | 3.0% | 7.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.6% | 2.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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