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Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 06:30 UTC

Toss-upNikoloz Basilashvili: In formAdrian Mannarino: In form
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →

Result

Nikoloz Basilashvili won 6-3 6-1. The model had Nikoloz Basilashvili at 53%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Nikoloz Basilashvilimodel 53% · market 51%
Adrian Mannarinomodel 47% · market 50%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • Adrian Mannarino has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili is 5–3 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Adrian Mannarino is 8–4 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Adrian Mannarino leads the head-to-head 2–1.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Ranking
#128 (seed q)
Elo
1588
Indoor hard 2026
5–3
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 8W – 2L

  • vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Marin Cilic · 2026-10-19Won
  • vs Adam Walton · 2026-10-18Won
  • vs Taro Daniel · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-07Lost
  • vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-06Won
  • vs Andre Ilagan · 2026-10-05Won
  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-09-28Lost
  • vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-09-27Won
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-09-25Won

Adrian Mannarino

Ranking
#79
Elo
1569
Indoor hard 2026
8–4
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-21Won
  • vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-19Won
  • vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-11Lost
  • vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-09Won
  • vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-07Won
  • vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-09-29Lost
  • vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-09-28Won
  • vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-27Lost
  • vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Juncheng Shang · 2026-09-24Won

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Nikoloz Basilashvili 1–2 Adrian Mannarino. On indoor hard: 0–1.

All 4 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

BasilashviliMannarino
First serve in59.3%60.3%
Points won on 1st serve68.6%70.1%
Points won on 2nd serve49.8%51.5%
Break points saved58.5%59.5%
Break points converted40.3%41.8%
Ace rate5.5%6.3%
Double-fault rate5.3%3.2%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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