Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 UTC
Flavio Cobolli: ColdFlavio Cobolli: Top 10
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →Result
Flavio Cobolli won 4-6 6-4 6-4. The model had Brandon Nakashima at 59%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Flavio Cobollimodel 41% · market 35%
Brandon Nakashimamodel 59% · market 65%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Flavio Cobolli has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Brandon Nakashima has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Brandon Nakashima is 4–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Brandon Nakashima leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- The model rates Flavio Cobolli 6 points higher than the market does.
Flavio Cobolli
- Ranking
- #6 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1669
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Stan Wawrinka · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Tristan Schoolkate · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Francisco Comesana · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-08-22Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-08-20Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-08-19Won
Brandon Nakashima
- Ranking
- #17 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1733
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Hamad Medjedovic · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Alex Michelsen · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-22Lost
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-08-21Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Flavio Cobolli 0–1 Brandon Nakashima.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Cobolli | Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 54.9% | 64.0% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 69.2% | 74.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.6% | 53.7% |
| Break points saved | 59.9% | 63.8% |
| Break points converted | 40.6% | 37.8% |
| Ace rate | 5.6% | 9.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.0% | 2.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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