Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC
Tommy Paul: In formTommy Paul: BusyCorentin Moutet: Home
Who wins the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes? Title chances →Result
Tommy Paul won 6-4 3-6 6-3. The model had Tommy Paul at 81%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Corentin Moutetmodel 19% · market 25%
Tommy Paulmodel 81% · market 75%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Corentin Moutet has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Tommy Paul has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 2–0.
- Corentin Moutet is playing at home.
- Tommy Paul has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Tommy Paul 6 points higher than the market does.
Corentin Moutet
- Ranking
- #94
- Elo
- 1541
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 2
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Felix Balshaw · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Dane Sweeny · 2026-09-01Lost
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-08-05Lost
- vs Marton Fucsovics · 2026-08-03Won
- vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-07-28Lost
- vs Marcos Giron · 2026-06-30Lost
- vs Abedallah Shelbayh · 2026-06-22Lost
- vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-06-18Lost
- vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2026-06-16Won
Tommy Paul
- Ranking
- #15 (seed 4)
- Elo
- 1791
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-06Lost
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-09-04Won
- vs Dino Prizmic · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong · 2026-08-30Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Corentin Moutet 0–2 Tommy Paul. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 3 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Moutet | Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 66.1% | 60.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 65.5% | 71.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 49.9% | 52.8% |
| Break points saved | 59.6% | 61.2% |
| Break points converted | 43.5% | 42.4% |
| Ace rate | 2.7% | 6.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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