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Magda Linette vs Katerina Siniakova

Hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC

Magda Linette: Cold
Who wins the Japan Open? Title chances →

Result

Katerina Siniakova won 6-4 6-1. The model had Katerina Siniakova at 64%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Magda Linettemodel 36% · market 35%
Katerina Siniakovamodel 64% · market 66%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.

  • Magda Linette has won 2 of the last 10 matches.
  • Katerina Siniakova has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Magda Linette is 14–16 on hard in 2026.
  • Katerina Siniakova is 11–12 on hard in 2026.
  • Head-to-head is level at 2–2.

Magda Linette

Ranking
#77
Elo
1563
Hard 2026
14–16
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 2W – 8L

  • vs Claire Liu · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-10Lost
  • vs Katerina Siniakova · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Darya Astakhova · 2026-09-21Lost
  • vs Francesca Jones · 2026-09-02Lost
  • vs Elena Gabriela Ruse · 2026-08-13Lost
  • vs Iva Jovic · 2026-08-05Lost
  • vs Carol Zhao · 2026-08-03Won
  • vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-07-27Lost
  • vs Mai Hontama · 2026-07-13Lost

Katerina Siniakova

Ranking
#86
Elo
1665
Hard 2026
11–12
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Peyton Stearns · 2026-10-20Won
  • vs Liudmila Samsonova · 2026-10-13Lost
  • vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-03Lost
  • vs Magda Linette · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-09-03Lost
  • vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto · 2026-08-31Won
  • vs Madison Keys · 2026-08-18Lost
  • vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · 2026-08-16Won
  • vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-08-04Lost
  • vs Nikola Bartunkova · 2026-07-01Lost

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Magda Linette 2–2 Katerina Siniakova. On hard: 2–2.

All 5 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

LinetteSiniakova
First serve in62.5%61.7%
Points won on 1st serve63.9%63.1%
Points won on 2nd serve46.8%44.7%
Break points saved54.7%54.0%
Break points converted44.4%47.1%
Ace rate4.1%3.1%
Double-fault rate3.9%6.2%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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