Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 08:00 UTC
Tomas Machac: Busy
Who wins the Almaty Open? Title chances →Result
Karen Khachanov won 6-2 4-6 7-6(7). The model had Karen Khachanov at 62%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Tomas Machacmodel 38% · market 34%
Karen Khachanovmodel 62% · market 67%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Tomas Machac has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Karen Khachanov has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Tomas Machac has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
Tomas Machac
- Ranking
- #72
- Elo
- 1597
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Zangar Nurlanuly · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Liam Draxl · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Alexandre Muller · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Zhizhen Zhang · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Alex Molcan · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Arthur Gea · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Yannick Hanfmann · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Toby Samuel · 2026-08-30Lost
Karen Khachanov
- Ranking
- #25 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1685
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Rei Sakamoto · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Alex Molcan · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-11Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-09Won
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-09-07Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Tomas Machac 0–1 Karen Khachanov. On indoor hard: 0–1.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Machac | Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 62.0% | 61.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.7% | 73.8% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.8% | 52.1% |
| Break points saved | 61.8% | 63.2% |
| Break points converted | 43.2% | 40.5% |
| Ace rate | 6.5% | 9.2% |
| Double-fault rate | 2.9% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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