Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 18:30 UTC
Result
Brandon Nakashima won 6-4 6-3. The model had Brandon Nakashima at 63%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Kyrian Jacquet has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Brandon Nakashima has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Kyrian Jacquet is playing at home.
Kyrian Jacquet
- Ranking
- #85 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1640
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Michael Mmoh · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Rei Sakamoto · 2026-10-06Lost
- vs Tianhui Zhang · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Holger Rune · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-09-28Lost
- vs Fabian Marozsan · 2026-09-27Won
Brandon Nakashima
- Ranking
- #17 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1733
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Hamad Medjedovic · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Alex Michelsen · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-22Lost
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-08-21Won
- vs Nuno Borges · 2026-08-19Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Jacquet | Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.8% | 64.0% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 68.6% | 74.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.1% | 53.7% |
| Break points saved | 59.6% | 63.8% |
| Break points converted | 42.3% | 37.7% |
| Ace rate | 5.1% | 9.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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