Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 30 Oct, 09:20 UTC
Result
Xinran Sun won 7-5 7-6(2). The model had Xinran Sun at 51%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed. At least one player has few tracked matches, so the rating leans on the ranking.
- Xinran Sun has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Claire Liu has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Xinran Sun is 7–2 on hard in 2026.
- Claire Liu is 17–10 on hard in 2026.
- Xinran Sun is playing at home.
- The model rates Xinran Sun 12 points higher than the market does.
- At least one player has few tracked matches, so the model leans on ranking.
Xinran Sun
- Ranking
- #405 (seed WC)
- Elo
- 1698
- Hard 2026
- 7–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 0
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Maria Timofeeva · 2026-10-29Won
- vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Eva Lys · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Luna Vujovic · 2026-08-26Lost
- vs Mariia Masiianskaia · 2026-08-24Won
- vs Nadja Mladenovic · 2026-08-23Won
- vs Varvara Panshina · 2026-08-16Lost
- vs Elena Milovanovic · 2026-08-10Lost
Claire Liu
- Ranking
- #109
- Elo
- 1689
- Hard 2026
- 17–10
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Antonia Ruzic · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Magda Linette · 2026-10-20Lost
- vs Maddison Inglis · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Kanon Sawashiro · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Lanlana Tararudee · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Rebecca Sramkova · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Elsa Jacquemot · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-09-16Lost
- vs Anna Blinkova · 2026-09-12Won
- vs Leolia Jeanjean · 2026-09-11Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Sun | Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.2% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 61.5% | 61.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.9% | 46.1% |
| Break points saved | 49.3% | 54.3% |
| Break points converted | 52.5% | 47.7% |
| Ace rate | 1.6% | 3.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.3% | 4.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.