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Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 UTC

Rafael Jodar: In form
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Valentin Vacherot won 7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(5). The model had Rafael Jodar at 66%, so this one went the other way.

Model vs. market

Valentin Vacherotmodel 34% · market 28%
Rafael Jodarmodel 66% · market 72%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.

  • Valentin Vacherot has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Rafael Jodar has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
  • Valentin Vacherot is 5–1 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Rafael Jodar is 4–1 on i.hard in 2026.
  • The model rates Valentin Vacherot 6 points higher than the market does.

Valentin Vacherot

Ranking
#31
Elo
1730
Indoor hard 2026
5–1
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
3

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Mariano Navone · 2026-10-26Won
  • vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-22Lost
  • vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-12Lost
  • vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-05Lost
  • vs Arthur Fils · 2026-10-04Won
  • vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-02Won
  • vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Lloyd Harris · 2026-09-26Lost
  • vs Otto Virtanen · 2026-09-19Won

Rafael Jodar

Ranking
#11 (seed 3)
Elo
1843
Indoor hard 2026
4–1
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
2

Last 10: 8W – 2L

  • vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-10-27Won
  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-10-18Lost
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Casper Ruud · 2026-10-16Won
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-14Won
  • vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Cristian Garin · 2026-09-19Won

Head-to-head

No head-to-head data available.

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

VacherotJodar
First serve in65.8%61.7%
Points won on 1st serve70.3%70.1%
Points won on 2nd serve53.0%53.5%
Break points saved61.5%60.4%
Break points converted41.9%44.0%
Ace rate7.1%5.4%
Double-fault rate3.0%2.9%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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