Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
Hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 06:10 UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich: In formAliaksandra Sasnovich: BusyDiana Shnaider: Busy
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Result
Diana Shnaider won 6-3 5-7 6-3. The model had Diana Shnaider at 70%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Aliaksandra Sasnovichmodel 30% · market 25%
Diana Shnaidermodel 70% · market 75%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 26–15 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider is 24–14 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- Diana Shnaider has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6 points higher than the market does.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Ranking
- #112 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1678
- Hard 2026
- 26–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Nikola Bartunkova · 2026-10-27Won
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Anhelina Kalinina · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Anna Bondar · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Elvina Kalieva · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Linda Fruhvirtova · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Xinxin Yao · 2026-10-05Won
Diana Shnaider
- Ranking
- #13 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1822
- Hard 2026
- 24–14
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 4
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Elena Rybakina · 2026-10-24Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Katie Boulter · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-02Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Aliaksandra Sasnovich 0–1 Diana Shnaider.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Sasnovich | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 63.6% | 63.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 62.3% | 64.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 43.9% | 49.2% |
| Break points saved | 54.2% | 56.7% |
| Break points converted | 46.6% | 48.5% |
| Ace rate | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.1% | 4.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.