Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
Hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 08:20 UTC
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Result
Alexandra Eala won 4-6 6-2 6-0. The model had Alexandra Eala at 65%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Alexandra Ealamodel 65% · market 72%
Talia Gibsonmodel 35% · market 28%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Alexandra Eala has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Talia Gibson has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Alexandra Eala is 26–13 on hard in 2026.
- Talia Gibson is 28–16 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Talia Gibson 6 points higher than the market does.
Alexandra Eala
- Ranking
- #19 (seed 8)
- Elo
- 1783
- Hard 2026
- 26–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Mika Stojsavljevic · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Diana Shnaider · 2026-10-22Lost
- vs Diane Parry · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Han Shi · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Tatiana Prozorova · 2026-09-24Lost
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Oleksandra Oliynykova · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Mary Stoiana · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Amanda Anisimova · 2026-08-17Lost
- vs Elena Gabriela Ruse · 2026-08-15Won
Talia Gibson
- Ranking
- #38
- Elo
- 1672
- Hard 2026
- 28–16
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Harriet Dart · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Sara Sorribes Tormo · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Maria Sakkari · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Viktoria Morvayova · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Fiona Ferro · 2026-09-21Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Eala | Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.8% | 63.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 61.2% | 66.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 47.2% | 47.2% |
| Break points saved | 54.6% | 55.8% |
| Break points converted | 48.6% | 45.3% |
| Ace rate | 1.7% | 5.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.