Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Casper Ruud: In form
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →Result
Nuno Borges won 1-6 6-3 6-4. The model had Casper Ruud at 65%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Nuno Borgesmodel 35% · market 35%
Casper Ruudmodel 65% · market 65%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Nuno Borges has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Casper Ruud has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 2–1.
Nuno Borges
- Ranking
- #53
- Elo
- 1653
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Mika Brunold · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-10-08Won
- vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-08-31Lost
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-08-19Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-08-18Won
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-08-16Won
- vs Thanasi Kokkinakis · 2026-08-14Won
- vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-08-08Lost
Casper Ruud
- Ranking
- #25 (seed 9)
- Elo
- 1762
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Dominic Stricker · 2026-10-26Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Learner Tien · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Fnu Nidunjianzan · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Rigele Te · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Christopher O'Connell · 2026-08-16Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Nuno Borges 1–2 Casper Ruud. On indoor hard: 0–2.
All 3 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Borges | Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.7% | 65.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 71.4% | 71.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 52.4% | 53.7% |
| Break points saved | 63.3% | 62.9% |
| Break points converted | 42.2% | 41.1% |
| Ace rate | 6.5% | 6.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 2.7% | 3.1% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.