Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC
Toss-upModel vs marketXinran Sun: Home
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Xinran Sun won 6-3 6-4. The model had Xinran Sun at 54%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Xinran Sunmodel 54% · market 42%
Mananchaya Sawangkaewmodel 46% · market 58%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed. At least one player has few tracked matches, so the rating leans on the ranking.
- Xinran Sun has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Xinran Sun is 5–2 on hard in 2026.
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew is 35–18 on hard in 2026.
- Xinran Sun is playing at home.
- The model rates Xinran Sun 12 points higher than the market does.
- At least one player has few tracked matches, so the model leans on ranking.
Xinran Sun
- Ranking
- #405 (seed WC)
- Elo
- 1691
- Hard 2026
- 5–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 21
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Eva Lys · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Luna Vujovic · 2026-08-26Lost
- vs Mariia Masiianskaia · 2026-08-24Won
- vs Nadja Mladenovic · 2026-08-23Won
- vs Varvara Panshina · 2026-08-16Lost
- vs Elena Milovanovic · 2026-08-10Lost
- vs Anja Stankovic · 2026-08-09Won
- vs Valentina Ivanov · 2026-05-29Lost
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
- Ranking
- #80
- Elo
- 1664
- Hard 2026
- 35–18
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 9
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Polina Kudermetova · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Magdalena Frech · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Anna Bondar · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Maya Joint · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Linda Fruhvirtova · 2026-10-06Lost
- vs Alina Korneeva · 2026-09-21Lost
- vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Panna Udvardy · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Katie Volynets · 2026-08-27Lost
- vs Lizette Cabrera · 2026-08-26Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Sun | Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 59.5% | 62.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 61.0% | 64.6% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.9% | 44.9% |
| Break points saved | 49.8% | 54.0% |
| Break points converted | 52.3% | 49.4% |
| Ace rate | 1.5% | 3.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.3% | 6.4% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.