Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 12:30 UTC
Result
Valentin Vacherot won 6-3 7-6(4). The model had Valentin Vacherot at 73%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Valentin Vacherot has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Mariano Navone has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Valentin Vacherot is 4–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Head-to-head is level at 1–1.
- The model rates Valentin Vacherot 12 points higher than the market does.
Valentin Vacherot
- Ranking
- #31
- Elo
- 1730
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 4
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-10-22Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Sebastian Baez · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Arthur Fils · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Lloyd Harris · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Otto Virtanen · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Eero Vasa · 2026-09-18Won
Mariano Navone
- Ranking
- #43
- Elo
- 1555
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 5
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Tallon Griekspoor · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Matteo Berrettini · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Novak Djokovic · 2026-08-30Won
- vs James Duckworth · 2026-08-25Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-08-15Lost
- vs Raphael Collignon · 2026-08-13Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Valentin Vacherot 1–1 Mariano Navone. On indoor hard: 1–1.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Vacherot | Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 65.8% | 66.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.3% | 63.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.0% | 48.9% |
| Break points saved | 61.4% | 55.3% |
| Break points converted | 42.0% | 45.7% |
| Ace rate | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.0% | 3.8% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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