ServedBets
← All matchesATP · Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · First

Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Wed 28 Oct, 13:15 UTC

Denis Shapovalov: Retired last matchRemy Bertola: BusyRemy Bertola: Home
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Denis Shapovalov won 6-4 6-2. The model had Denis Shapovalov at 73%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Remy Bertolamodel 27% · market 28%
Denis Shapovalovmodel 73% · market 72%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.

  • Remy Bertola has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
  • Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Remy Bertola is 14–12 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Remy Bertola has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Remy Bertola is playing at home.
  • Denis Shapovalov retired from the last match 24 days ago.

Remy Bertola

Ranking
#236 (seed q)
Elo
1524
Indoor hard 2026
14–12
Matches, last 14 days
6
Days since last match
3
Home
Yes

Last 10: 5W – 5L

  • vs Mika Brunold · 2026-10-25Won
  • vs Jakub Paul · 2026-10-24Won
  • vs David Goffin · 2026-10-21Lost
  • vs Federico Cina · 2026-10-18Lost
  • vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Otto Virtanen · 2026-10-14Lost
  • vs Lucas Poullain · 2026-09-30Lost
  • vs Alexandre Reco · 2026-09-29Won
  • vs Jesper De Jong · 2026-09-22Lost
  • vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · 2026-09-19Won

Denis Shapovalov

Ranking
#52
Elo
1696
Indoor hard 2026
3–1
Matches, last 14 days
0
Days since last match
24

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-10-04Lost
  • vs Alejandro Tabilo · 2026-10-03Won
  • vs Sho Shimabukuro · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Hubert Hurkacz · 2026-09-28Lost
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-27Won
  • vs Vit Kopriva · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Tallon Griekspoor · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Ben Shelton · 2026-09-04Lost
  • vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-09-02Won
  • vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-08-30Won

Head-to-head

No head-to-head data available.

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

BertolaShapovalov
First serve in58.2%58.6%
Points won on 1st serve69.1%75.3%
Points won on 2nd serve50.2%51.5%
Break points saved59.2%64.2%
Break points converted42.8%39.3%
Ace rate4.6%9.9%
Double-fault rate5.2%6.9%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord

This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.

Join Discord (opens in a new tab)