Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Result
Holger Rune won 6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(5). The model had Holger Rune at 50%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Holger Rune has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Quentin Halys has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Holger Rune leads the head-to-head 2–0.
Holger Rune
- Ranking
- #195
- Elo
- 1637
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–0
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 19
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Kyrian Jacquet · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Grigor Dimitrov · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Iliyan Radulov · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2025-10-18Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2025-10-17Won
- vs Marton Fucsovics · 2025-10-16Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2025-10-09Lost
- vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · 2025-10-07Won
- vs Ugo Humbert · 2025-10-05Won
Quentin Halys
- Ranking
- #45
- Elo
- 1636
- Indoor hard 2026
- 1–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 15
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Alexander Blockx · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Alex De Minaur · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Ignacio Buse · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-09-18Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Facundo Diaz Acosta · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-08-25Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Rune | Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 62.5% | 58.7% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.8% | 77.6% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 53.4% | 48.3% |
| Break points saved | 61.5% | 63.3% |
| Break points converted | 42.2% | 38.2% |
| Ace rate | 5.7% | 13.2% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.9% | 6.4% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.