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Dominic Stricker vs Casper Ruud

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Dominic Stricker: In formDominic Stricker: Home
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Casper Ruud won 4-6 7-5 6-3. The model had Casper Ruud at 72%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Dominic Strickermodel 28% · market 32%
Casper Ruudmodel 72% · market 68%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.

  • Dominic Stricker has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Casper Ruud has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
  • Dominic Stricker is 12–5 on i.hard in 2026.
  • Head-to-head is level at 1–1.
  • Dominic Stricker is playing at home.

Dominic Stricker

Ranking
#253 (seed WC)
Elo
1597
Indoor hard 2026
12–5
Matches, last 14 days
2
Days since last match
11
Home
Yes

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Otto Virtanen · 2026-10-15Won
  • vs Philip Henning · 2026-10-14Won
  • vs Laslo Djere · 2026-10-07Lost
  • vs Marko Topo · 2026-10-05Won
  • vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz · 2026-10-04Won
  • vs Henry Bernet · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Liam Broady · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Joao Fonseca · 2026-09-18Lost
  • vs Martin Krumich · 2026-08-25Lost
  • vs Benjamin Hassan · 2026-08-22Won

Casper Ruud

Ranking
#25 (seed 9)
Elo
1762
Indoor hard 2026
1–0
Matches, last 14 days
3
Days since last match
10

Last 10: 6W – 4L

  • vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-10-16Lost
  • vs Felix Auger Aliassime · 2026-10-14Won
  • vs Learner Tien · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Luciano Darderi · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Francisco Cerundolo · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Fnu Nidunjianzan · 2026-09-19Won
  • vs Rigele Te · 2026-09-18Won
  • vs Christopher O'Connell · 2026-08-16Lost
  • vs Joao Fonseca · 2026-08-07Lost

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Dominic Stricker 1–1 Casper Ruud. On indoor hard: 1–0.

All 3 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

StrickerRuud
First serve in56.7%65.1%
Points won on 1st serve75.1%71.4%
Points won on 2nd serve51.9%53.7%
Break points saved61.5%62.9%
Break points converted39.7%41.1%
Ace rate10.1%6.3%
Double-fault rate4.0%3.1%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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