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Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Rafael Jodar: In formAlejandro Tabilo: Cold
Who wins the Swiss Indoors Basel? Title chances →

Result

Rafael Jodar won 6-4 6-2. The model had Rafael Jodar at 77%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Alejandro Tabilomodel 23% · market 23%
Rafael Jodarmodel 77% · market 77%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.

  • Alejandro Tabilo has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Rafael Jodar has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Rafael Jodar leads the head-to-head 2–1.

Alejandro Tabilo

Ranking
#30
Elo
1635
Indoor hard 2025
1–3
Matches, last 14 days
0
Days since last match
17

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-10-10Lost
  • vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-10-03Lost
  • vs Tommy Paul · 2026-09-30Won
  • vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-25Lost
  • vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-09-19Lost
  • vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-05Lost
  • vs Alexei Popyrin · 2026-09-03Won
  • vs Yannick Hanfmann · 2026-08-31Won
  • vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-08-17Lost
  • vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-08-15Won

Rafael Jodar

Ranking
#11 (seed 3)
Elo
1843
Indoor hard 2026
3–1
Matches, last 14 days
4
Days since last match
9

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-10-18Lost
  • vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Casper Ruud · 2026-10-16Won
  • vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-14Won
  • vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-12Won
  • vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-09-25Won
  • vs Cristian Garin · 2026-09-19Won
  • vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-09-02Lost

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Alejandro Tabilo 1–2 Rafael Jodar. On indoor hard: 1–2.

All 4 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

TabiloJodar
First serve in62.2%61.7%
Points won on 1st serve71.2%70.0%
Points won on 2nd serve48.5%53.5%
Break points saved60.7%60.1%
Break points converted42.7%44.1%
Ace rate6.8%5.4%
Double-fault rate4.6%2.9%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

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