Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Result
Rafael Jodar won 6-4 6-2. The model had Rafael Jodar at 77%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.4%) removed.
- Alejandro Tabilo has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Rafael Jodar has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Rafael Jodar leads the head-to-head 2–1.
Alejandro Tabilo
- Ranking
- #30
- Elo
- 1635
- Indoor hard 2025
- 1–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 17
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Tommy Paul · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Adrian Mannarino · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-09-19Lost
- vs Alexander Zverev · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Alexei Popyrin · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Yannick Hanfmann · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Rafael Jodar · 2026-08-17Lost
- vs Jan-Lennard Struff · 2026-08-15Won
Rafael Jodar
- Ranking
- #11 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1843
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 9
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · 2026-10-18Lost
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Casper Ruud · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Alexander Bublik · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Cristian Garin · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Bu Yunchaokete · 2026-09-02Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Alejandro Tabilo 1–2 Rafael Jodar. On indoor hard: 1–2.
All 4 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Tabilo | Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 62.2% | 61.7% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 71.2% | 70.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 48.5% | 53.5% |
| Break points saved | 60.7% | 60.1% |
| Break points converted | 42.7% | 44.1% |
| Ace rate | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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