Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Adrian Mannarino: In formIgnacio Buse: ColdModel vs marketAdrian Mannarino: Busy
Who wins the Erste Bank Open? Title chances →Result
Adrian Mannarino won 0-6 7-5 6-4. The model had Ignacio Buse at 59%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Adrian Mannarinomodel 41% · market 57%
Ignacio Busemodel 59% · market 43%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.5%) removed.
- Adrian Mannarino has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Ignacio Buse has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Adrian Mannarino is 10–5 on i.hard in 2026.
- Ignacio Buse leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Adrian Mannarino has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Ignacio Buse 16 points higher than the market does.
Adrian Mannarino
- Ranking
- #73 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1611
- Indoor hard 2026
- 10–5
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Alex Molcan · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Thiago Agustin Tirante · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Aleksandar Vukic · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Karen Khachanov · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Miomir Kecmanovic · 2026-09-28Won
Ignacio Buse
- Ranking
- #32
- Elo
- 1674
- Indoor hard 2025
- 1–3
- Matches, last 14 days
- 0
- Days since last match
- 17
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Zizou Bergs · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Quentin Halys · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-09-19Lost
- vs Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-09-03Lost
- vs Marcos Giron · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-08-29Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-08-28Won
- vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · 2026-08-27Won
- vs Daniel Altmaier · 2026-08-26Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Mannarino | Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.3% | 61.4% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.1% | 67.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.5% | 49.3% |
| Break points saved | 59.4% | 58.6% |
| Break points converted | 41.8% | 43.7% |
| Ace rate | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.2% | 3.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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