Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson
Hard · Best of 3 · Mon 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Model vs marketDaria Kasatkina: Busy
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Result
Talia Gibson won 6-0 7-5. The model had Talia Gibson at 62%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Daria Kasatkinamodel 38% · market 56%
Talia Gibsonmodel 62% · market 44%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Daria Kasatkina has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Talia Gibson has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Daria Kasatkina is 11–13 on hard in 2026.
- Talia Gibson is 27–16 on hard in 2026.
- Daria Kasatkina has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Talia Gibson 18 points higher than the market does.
Daria Kasatkina
- Ranking
- #74 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1590
- Hard 2026
- 11–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Kimberly Birrell · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Yexin Ma · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-13Lost
- vs Sara Sorribes Tormo · 2026-10-11Won
- vs Viktorija Golubic · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Paula Badosa Gibert · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-09-21Lost
- vs Paula Badosa Gibert · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-08-13Lost
Talia Gibson
- Ranking
- #42
- Elo
- 1672
- Hard 2026
- 27–16
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Ashlyn Krueger · 2026-10-23Lost
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Harriet Dart · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Sara Sorribes Tormo · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-09-27Lost
- vs Maria Sakkari · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Viktoria Morvayova · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Fiona Ferro · 2026-09-21Won
- vs Donna Vekic · 2026-08-30Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Kasatkina | Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 67.7% | 63.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 60.5% | 66.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 42.7% | 47.1% |
| Break points saved | 53.0% | 55.8% |
| Break points converted | 49.1% | 45.2% |
| Ace rate | 2.2% | 5.4% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.0% | 5.2% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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