Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova
Hard · Best of 3 · Tue 27 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Aliaksandra Sasnovich: In formAliaksandra Sasnovich: Busy
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Result
Aliaksandra Sasnovich won 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3. The model had Nikola Bartunkova at 66%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Aliaksandra Sasnovichmodel 34% · market 38%
Nikola Bartunkovamodel 66% · market 62%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.3%) removed.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Nikola Bartunkova has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 25–15 on hard in 2026.
- Nikola Bartunkova is 24–12 on hard in 2026.
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Ranking
- #112 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1678
- Hard 2026
- 25–15
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-25Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Leylah Annie Fernandez · 2026-10-21Lost
- vs Daria Kasatkina · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Anhelina Kalinina · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Anna Bondar · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Elvina Kalieva · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Linda Fruhvirtova · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Xinxin Yao · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-10-02Lost
Nikola Bartunkova
- Ranking
- #29
- Elo
- 1791
- Hard 2026
- 24–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 13
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Jasmine Paolini · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Lilli Tagger · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Mirra Andreeva · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-08Won
- vs Sinja Kraus · 2026-10-06Won
- vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-10-04Won
- vs Magdalena Frech · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Mirra Andreeva · 2026-09-05Lost
- vs Tatjana Maria · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Mayar Sherif · 2026-09-02Won
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Sasnovich | Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 63.6% | 53.2% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 62.3% | 68.0% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 43.9% | 45.6% |
| Break points saved | 54.2% | 55.5% |
| Break points converted | 46.6% | 48.8% |
| Ace rate | 3.3% | 4.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 6.1% | 9.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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