Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko
Hard · Best of 3 · Sun 25 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Who wins the Guangzhou Open? Title chances →Result
Alevtina Ibragimova won 6-3 6-3. The model had Polina Iatcenko at 60%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Alevtina Ibragimovamodel 40% · market 37%
Polina Iatcenkomodel 60% · market 63%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.3%) removed.
- Alevtina Ibragimova has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Polina Iatcenko has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Alevtina Ibragimova is 6–8 on hard in 2026.
- Polina Iatcenko is 23–18 on hard in 2026.
Alevtina Ibragimova
- Ranking
- #175
- Elo
- 1589
- Hard 2026
- 6–8
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Rina Saigo · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Rebecca Sramkova · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Kyoka Okamura · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Daria Khomutsianskaya · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Yeon Woo Ku · 2026-09-22Lost
- vs Sara Saito · 2026-09-20Won
- vs Rina Saigo · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Rositsa Dencheva · 2026-09-13Lost
- vs Alicia Herrero Linana · 2026-09-12Won
- vs Aurora Zantedeschi · 2026-09-11Won
Polina Iatcenko
- Ranking
- #154
- Elo
- 1658
- Hard 2026
- 23–18
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Alexandra Shubladze · 2026-10-24Won
- vs Harmony Tan · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Lucrezia Stefanini · 2026-10-09Lost
- vs Dalma Galfi · 2026-10-07Won
- vs Suzan Lamens · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Erika Andreeva · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Teodora Kostovic · 2026-09-26Lost
- vs Ksenia Zaytseva · 2026-09-25Won
- vs Weronika Falkowska · 2026-09-23Won
- vs Viktoria Hruncakova · 2026-09-21Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Ibragimova | Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 68.2% | 60.8% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 58.6% | 63.6% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| Break points saved | 54.0% | 54.3% |
| Break points converted | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| Ace rate | 1.9% | 3.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.1% | 4.6% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.