Liudmila Samsonova vs Heather Watson
Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 03:00 UTC
Model vs market
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →Result
Heather Watson won 2-6 7-5 7-6(3). The model had Liudmila Samsonova at 68%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Liudmila Samsonovamodel 68% · market 84%
Heather Watsonmodel 32% · market 16%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.6%) removed.
- Liudmila Samsonova has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Heather Watson has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Liudmila Samsonova is 15–16 on hard in 2026.
- Heather Watson is 10–9 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Heather Watson 16 points higher than the market does.
Liudmila Samsonova
- Ranking
- #43
- Elo
- 1697
- Hard 2026
- 15–16
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 4
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Lilli Tagger · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Elina Svitolina · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Katerina Siniakova · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Linda Fruhvirtova · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Peyton Stearns · 2026-09-18Lost
- vs Marta Kostyuk · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Kayla Day · 2026-09-16Won
- vs Elsa Jacquemot · 2026-09-14Won
- vs Maya Joint · 2026-08-31Lost
Heather Watson
- Ranking
- #384
- Elo
- 1566
- Hard 2026
- 10–9
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 6
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Emerson Jones · 2026-10-17Lost
- vs Harriet Dart · 2026-08-28Lost
- vs Angela Fita Boluda · 2026-08-26Won
- vs Claire Liu · 2026-08-24Won
- vs Anna Blinkova · 2026-08-01Lost
- vs Julieta Pareja · 2026-07-26Lost
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-07-25Won
- vs Maria Timofeeva · 2026-06-25Lost
- vs Tatiana Prozorova · 2026-06-24Won
- vs Mayar Sherif · 2026-06-23Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Samsonova | Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 56.6% | 59.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 68.3% | 65.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 48.2% | 44.9% |
| Break points saved | 57.1% | 55.8% |
| Break points converted | 45.4% | 45.4% |
| Ace rate | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.3% | 4.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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