ServedBets
← All matchesWTA · Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Q1

Kimberly Birrell vs Aoi Ito

Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 07:05 UTC

Aoi Ito: BusyAoi Ito: Home
Who wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open? Title chances →

Result

Kimberly Birrell won 6-4 6-2. The model had Kimberly Birrell at 64%, so the favourite came through.

Model vs. market

Kimberly Birrellmodel 64% · market 71%
Aoi Itomodel 37% · market 29%

Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.3%) removed.

  • Kimberly Birrell has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
  • Aoi Ito has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
  • Kimberly Birrell is 24–17 on hard in 2026.
  • Aoi Ito is 16–19 on hard in 2026.
  • Kimberly Birrell leads the head-to-head 2–0.
  • Aoi Ito has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aoi Ito is playing at home.
  • The model rates Aoi Ito 8 points higher than the market does.

Kimberly Birrell

Ranking
#41
Elo
1684
Hard 2026
24–17
Matches, last 14 days
1
Days since last match
10

Last 10: 7W – 3L

  • vs Katie Volynets · 2026-10-13Lost
  • vs Marie Bouzkova · 2026-10-03Lost
  • vs Aoi Ito · 2026-10-01Won
  • vs Maya Joint · 2026-09-27Won
  • vs Anna Bondar · 2026-09-26Won
  • vs Katie Volynets · 2026-09-26Won
  • vs Yexin Ma · 2026-09-24Won
  • vs Tamara Zidansek · 2026-09-22Won
  • vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-09-02Lost
  • vs Petra Marcinko · 2026-08-31Won

Aoi Ito

Ranking
#314
Elo
1588
Hard 2026
16–19
Matches, last 14 days
5
Days since last match
5
Home
Yes

Last 10: 4W – 6L

  • vs Harriet Dart · 2026-10-18Lost
  • vs Tyra Caterina Grant · 2026-10-17Won
  • vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-12Lost
  • vs Magdalena Frech · 2026-10-11Won
  • vs Alycia Parks · 2026-10-10Won
  • vs Kimberly Birrell · 2026-10-01Lost
  • vs Nao Hibino · 2026-09-20Lost
  • vs Sofya Lansere · 2026-09-19Won
  • vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson · 2026-09-15Lost
  • vs Anastasia Gasanova · 2026-09-12Lost

Head-to-head

All surfaces: Kimberly Birrell 2–0 Aoi Ito. On hard: 2–0.

All 2 meetings with scores and stats →

Serve and return

Career figures from the data provider.

BirrellIto
First serve in63.0%69.9%
Points won on 1st serve63.7%58.9%
Points won on 2nd serve44.8%45.0%
Break points saved54.7%54.4%
Break points converted45.5%49.5%
Ace rate2.7%1.5%
Double-fault rate6.2%4.7%

Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.

The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord

This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.

Join Discord (opens in a new tab)