Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider
Hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 09:30 UTC
Elena Rybakina: In formDiana Shnaider: In formModel vs marketDiana Shnaider: BusyElena Rybakina: Top 10
Who wins the Ningbo Open? Title chances →Result
Elena Rybakina won 6-3 7-5. The model had Elena Rybakina at 78%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Elena Rybakinamodel 78% · market 64%
Diana Shnaidermodel 22% · market 36%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Elena Rybakina has won 9 of the last 10 matches.
- Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Elena Rybakina is 38–8 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider is 24–13 on hard in 2026.
- Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 2–0.
- Diana Shnaider has played 7 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Elena Rybakina 14 points higher than the market does.
Elena Rybakina
- Ranking
- #1 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 2010
- Hard 2026
- 38–8
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 9W – 1L
- vs Katarzyna Kawa · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Polina Kudermetova · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Alina Charaeva · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-09-12Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-09-10Won
- vs Qinwen Zheng · 2026-09-09Won
- vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-09-07Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-09-05Won
- vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Thea Frodin · 2026-09-01Won
Diana Shnaider
- Ranking
- #13 (seed 6)
- Elo
- 1790
- Hard 2026
- 24–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 7
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Iva Jovic · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Katie Boulter · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Taylor Townsend · 2026-09-04Lost
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Elena Rybakina 2–0 Diana Shnaider. On hard: 1–0.
All 3 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Rybakina | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 58.7% | 63.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.5% | 64.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 49.4% | 49.2% |
| Break points saved | 60.2% | 56.7% |
| Break points converted | 45.1% | 48.5% |
| Ace rate | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.2% | 4.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.