Jaime Faria vs Mika Brunold
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 10:30 UTC
Result
Mika Brunold won 7-6(4) 7-6(5). The model had Mika Brunold at 55%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (4.2%) removed.
- Jaime Faria has won 4 of the last 10 matches.
- Mika Brunold has won 9 of the last 10 matches.
- Mika Brunold is 14–5 on i.hard in 2026.
- Mika Brunold has played 5 matches in the last 14 days.
- Mika Brunold is playing at home.
- The model rates Mika Brunold 10 points higher than the market does.
Jaime Faria
- Ranking
- #56
- Elo
- 1657
- Indoor hard 2026
- 2–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 4
Last 10: 4W – 6L
- vs Felix Balshaw · 2026-10-19Lost
- vs Arthur Gea · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar · 2026-10-02Lost
- vs Arthur Fery · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · 2026-09-29Lost
- vs Shintaro Mochizuki · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Hugo Gaston · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Terence Atmane · 2026-09-24Won
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-09-02Lost
- vs Jenson Brooksby · 2026-08-30Won
Mika Brunold
- Ranking
- #195
- Elo
- 1691
- Indoor hard 2026
- 14–5
- Matches, last 14 days
- 5
- Days since last match
- 5
- Home
- Yes
Last 10: 9W – 1L
- vs Matteo Martineau · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Jerome Kym · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Felix Balshaw · 2026-10-16Won
- vs Benjamin Bonzi · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Mathys Domenc · 2026-10-12Won
- vs Carlo Alberto Caniato · 2026-09-18Lost
- vs Francesco Forti · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Massimo Giunta · 2026-09-15Won
- vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva · 2026-09-13Won
- vs Vitaliy Sachko · 2026-09-12Won
Head-to-head
No head-to-head data available.
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Faria | Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 57.9% | 61.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.5% | 66.9% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 48.7% | 50.5% |
| Break points saved | 56.8% | 59.0% |
| Break points converted | 41.8% | 43.3% |
| Ace rate | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.7% | 4.7% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.