Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Who wins the European Open? Title chances →Result
Tallon Griekspoor won 2-6 6-3 7-6(4). The model had Francisco Cerundolo at 68%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Francisco Cerundolo has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Tallon Griekspoor has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Francisco Cerundolo is 4–1 on i.hard in 2026.
- Tallon Griekspoor is 7–2 on i.hard in 2026.
- Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- The model rates Francisco Cerundolo 7 points higher than the market does.
Francisco Cerundolo
- Ranking
- #21 (seed 3)
- Elo
- 1711
- Indoor hard 2026
- 4–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Clement Chidekh · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-11Lost
- vs Roman Safiullin · 2026-10-09Won
- vs Daniil Medvedev · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Jakub Mensik · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-01Won
- vs Casper Ruud · 2026-09-25Lost
- vs Mert Alkaya · 2026-09-20Won
- vs Yanki Erel · 2026-09-19Won
Tallon Griekspoor
- Ranking
- #60
- Elo
- 1583
- Indoor hard 2026
- 7–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 0
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Jiri Lehecka · 2026-10-23Won
- vs Mariano Navone · 2026-10-21Won
- vs Max Schoenhaus · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Pavel Kotov · 2026-10-08Lost
- vs Andrey Rublev · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Denis Shapovalov · 2026-09-24Lost
- vs Nicolas Mejia · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Ben Shelton · 2026-08-31Lost
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-08-09Lost
- vs Matteo Arnaldi · 2026-08-07Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Francisco Cerundolo 1–0 Tallon Griekspoor. On indoor hard: 1–0.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Cerundolo | Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 64.2% | 63.5% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 66.8% | 72.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.7% | 51.5% |
| Break points saved | 60.6% | 62.9% |
| Break points converted | 42.9% | 40.0% |
| Ace rate | 3.5% | 8.3% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.7% | 3.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.