Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 08:00 UTC
Toss-upDiana Shnaider: In formDiana Shnaider: Busy
Who wins the Ningbo Open? Title chances →Result
Diana Shnaider won 6-3 4-6 6-1. The model had Iva Jovic at 54%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Iva Jovicmodel 54% · market 48%
Diana Shnaidermodel 46% · market 52%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3%) removed.
- Iva Jovic has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Iva Jovic is 28–12 on hard in 2026.
- Diana Shnaider is 23–13 on hard in 2026.
- Iva Jovic leads the head-to-head 1–0.
- Diana Shnaider has played 6 matches in the last 14 days.
- The model rates Iva Jovic 6 points higher than the market does.
Iva Jovic
- Ranking
- #12 (seed 4)
- Elo
- 1819
- Hard 2026
- 28–12
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Jasmine Paolini · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Maja Chwalinska · 2026-10-15Lost
- vs Dayana Yastremska · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-10-07Lost
- vs Kamilla Rakhimova · 2026-10-05Won
- vs Harriet Dart · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Peyton Stearns · 2026-09-19Won
- vs Cristina Bucsa · 2026-09-18Won
- vs Magdalena Frech · 2026-09-17Won
- vs Zeynep Sonmez · 2026-09-16Won
Diana Shnaider
- Ranking
- #13 (seed 6)
- Elo
- 1790
- Hard 2026
- 23–13
- Matches, last 14 days
- 6
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-16Lost
- vs Karolina Muchova · 2026-10-15Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-10-14Won
- vs Katie Boulter · 2026-10-13Won
- vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Janice Tjen · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Taylor Townsend · 2026-09-04Lost
- vs Karolina Pliskova · 2026-09-02Won
Head-to-head
All surfaces: Iva Jovic 1–0 Diana Shnaider. On hard: 1–0.
All 2 meetings with scores and stats →Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Jovic | Shnaider | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.1% | 63.9% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 63.6% | 64.2% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 50.1% | 49.2% |
| Break points saved | 58.3% | 56.7% |
| Break points converted | 50.3% | 48.4% |
| Ace rate | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Double-fault rate | 3.1% | 4.0% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
This page is the model's view. Our actual picks get a full written analysis and further filters, and they are posted in the free Discord before the match.