Elena Rybakina vs Katarzyna Kawa
Hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 UTC
Elena Rybakina: In formKatarzyna Kawa: In formElena Rybakina: Top 10
Who wins the Ningbo Open? Title chances →Result
Elena Rybakina won 6-1 3-6 6-1. The model had Elena Rybakina at 93%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Elena Rybakinamodel 93% · market 94%
Katarzyna Kawamodel 7% · market 6%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Elena Rybakina has won 8 of the last 10 matches.
- Katarzyna Kawa has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Elena Rybakina is 37–8 on hard in 2026.
- Katarzyna Kawa is 7–6 on hard in 2026.
Elena Rybakina
- Ranking
- #1 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 2010
- Hard 2026
- 37–8
- Matches, last 14 days
- 1
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 8W – 2L
- vs Polina Kudermetova · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Alina Charaeva · 2026-10-03Lost
- vs Aryna Sabalenka · 2026-09-12Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-09-10Won
- vs Qinwen Zheng · 2026-09-09Won
- vs Naomi Osaka · 2026-09-07Won
- vs Yuliia Starodubtseva · 2026-09-05Won
- vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · 2026-09-03Won
- vs Thea Frodin · 2026-09-01Won
- vs Iga Swiatek · 2026-08-20Lost
Katarzyna Kawa
- Ranking
- #128 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1565
- Hard 2026
- 7–6
- Matches, last 14 days
- 4
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs Belinda Bencic · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Katie Volynets · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Valeria Savinykh · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Rinko Matsuda · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Maria Garcia Cid · 2026-09-14Lost
- vs Eva Bennemann · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Ekaterine Gorgodze · 2026-08-24Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Rybakina | Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 58.7% | 60.0% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 70.4% | 59.4% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 49.4% | 44.2% |
| Break points saved | 60.2% | 50.9% |
| Break points converted | 45.1% | 50.3% |
| Ace rate | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.2% | 5.9% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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