Arthur Fils vs Alex Michelsen
Indoor hard · Best of 3 · Fri 23 Oct, 16:30 UTC
Arthur Fils: Top 10
Who wins the European Open? Title chances →Result
Arthur Fils won 6-4 7-6(12). The model had Arthur Fils at 65%, so the favourite came through.
Model vs. market
Arthur Filsmodel 65% · market 66%
Alex Michelsenmodel 35% · market 35%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (2.9%) removed.
- Arthur Fils has won 7 of the last 10 matches.
- Alex Michelsen has won 6 of the last 10 matches.
- Arthur Fils is 3–2 on i.hard in 2026.
Arthur Fils
- Ranking
- #10 (seed 1)
- Elo
- 1821
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–2
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 11
Last 10: 7W – 3L
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-12Lost
- vs Pavel Kotov · 2026-10-10Won
- vs Valentin Vacherot · 2026-10-04Lost
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-10-02Won
- vs Luca Van Assche · 2026-09-30Won
- vs Kamil Majchrzak · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Martin Damm · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · 2026-08-31Lost
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-08-23Won
- vs Flavio Cobolli · 2026-08-22Won
Alex Michelsen
- Ranking
- #37 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1712
- Indoor hard 2026
- 3–1
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 1
Last 10: 6W – 4L
- vs David Goffin · 2026-10-22Won
- vs Andrea Guerrieri · 2026-10-19Won
- vs Botic Van De Zandschulp · 2026-10-10Lost
- vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2026-10-01Lost
- vs Frances Tiafoe · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry · 2026-09-06Won
- vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · 2026-09-04Won
- vs Brandon Nakashima · 2026-09-02Won
- vs Federico Cina · 2026-08-31Won
- vs Taylor Fritz · 2026-08-16Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Fils | Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 61.7% | 65.7% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 71.4% | 70.3% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 51.0% | 51.8% |
| Break points saved | 61.1% | 62.0% |
| Break points converted | 41.8% | 41.9% |
| Ace rate | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 4.1% | 3.3% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
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