Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic
Hard · Best of 3 · Thu 22 Oct, 06:30 UTC
Katarzyna Kawa: In formModel vs market
Who wins the Ningbo Open? Title chances →Result
Katarzyna Kawa won 7-5 6-2. The model had Belinda Bencic at 78%, so this one went the other way.
Model vs. market
Katarzyna Kawamodel 22% · market 12%
Belinda Bencicmodel 78% · market 88%
Bar: our surface Elo model. White tick: the market, bookmaker margin (3.9%) removed.
- Katarzyna Kawa has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Belinda Bencic has won 5 of the last 10 matches.
- Katarzyna Kawa is 6–6 on hard in 2026.
- Belinda Bencic is 18–9 on hard in 2026.
- The model rates Katarzyna Kawa 10 points higher than the market does.
Katarzyna Kawa
- Ranking
- #128 (seed q)
- Elo
- 1565
- Hard 2026
- 6–6
- Matches, last 14 days
- 3
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-10-18Won
- vs Katie Volynets · 2026-10-17Won
- vs Daria Snigur · 2026-09-30Lost
- vs Valeria Savinykh · 2026-09-29Won
- vs Rinko Matsuda · 2026-09-28Won
- vs Maria Garcia Cid · 2026-09-14Lost
- vs Eva Bennemann · 2026-09-08Lost
- vs Ekaterine Gorgodze · 2026-08-24Lost
- vs Eva Lys · 2026-08-11Lost
Belinda Bencic
- Ranking
- #14 (seed 5)
- Elo
- 1782
- Hard 2026
- 18–9
- Matches, last 14 days
- 2
- Days since last match
- 2
Last 10: 5W – 5L
- vs Jelena Ostapenko · 2026-10-20Won
- vs Sonay Kartal · 2026-10-14Lost
- vs Ann Li · 2026-10-05Lost
- vs Anastasia Zakharova · 2026-10-03Won
- vs Yulia Putintseva · 2026-09-01Lost
- vs Lois Boisson · 2026-08-15Lost
- vs Alexandra Eala · 2026-08-09Won
- vs Taylor Townsend · 2026-08-07Won
- vs Sloane Stephens · 2026-08-05Won
- vs Cori Gauff · 2026-07-05Lost
Serve and return
Career figures from the data provider.
| Kawa | Bencic | |
|---|---|---|
| First serve in | 60.0% | 62.1% |
| Points won on 1st serve | 59.4% | 67.5% |
| Points won on 2nd serve | 44.2% | 46.9% |
| Break points saved | 50.9% | 57.7% |
| Break points converted | 50.4% | 45.9% |
| Ace rate | 2.0% | 4.0% |
| Double-fault rate | 5.8% | 5.6% |
Model estimate, not a betting tip. Not tracked as a bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Compare any two ratings yourself in the Elo Win Probability Calculator, or remove the margin from other prices with the no-vig calculator.
The analysis behind every pick is in the Discord
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